Agent-based Monte Carlo risk simulation of a BTC carry fund at institutional scale: 1,080-cell parameter sweep, 12-scenario stress library, replay-validated against KPK's published carry template. Full risk memo, run log and code.
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Two more disclosures, because they are the point: Calibration is partial. One of three price generators passes every check; two miss a strict volatility test. And an earlier draft of this work failed…
@onchainmay · x.com
